Jeff Bagwell


I can feel my quads shaking just imagining trying to hold this batting stance while some slow poke like Josh Beckett is on the mound.

From 1994-2000 there was no better first baseman in the National League than Jeff Bagwell.  It took the arrival of Albert Pujols to change that moreso than any sharp decline from Bagwell.  He had another four good years after Pujols came on the scene.  Bagwell played fifteen seasons – all with the Houston Astros and in four of them he played every game.  He hit all of the meaningful awards:  Rookie of the Year in 1991, Most Valuable Player in 1994, All-Star four times (surprisingly low number in my opinion), Silver Slugger Award three times and Gold Glove Award in 1994.  He could hit for high average (.297 career), power (449 HR) and for a first baseman he was an asset on the base paths (202 SB).

Although he had won Rookie of the Year three years earlier, 1994 was the year he truly burst on the scene as the premier first baseman in the League.  His season was incredible: a .368 average with 39 homers; 116 RBI leading the league; 104 runs tying for the league lead; 15 steals and a league leading .750 slugging percentage.  He dipped in 1995, but was back on top in 1996 to reel off six straight seasons with over 100 RBI.  In 1999 he finished second in the MVP voting with a .302, 42 HR, 106 RBI and 30 steal campaign.  Then, in 2000 he was even better with a .310, 47 HR, 102 RBI season.  He must have gotten off to a horrible start that season, because it wasn’t even good enough to get him to the All-Star game and he slid to 7th in the MVP vote.  The baseball writers must have killed him for his falloff from 30 to 9 steals!

Throughout his career Bagwell was a constant in the Houston lineup and consummate run producer.  His 162 game average over 15 seasons was to drive in 115 runs and score another 114 himself.  There just isn’t much to criticize with his game.  He often walked more than striking out, was solid with the glove and the offensive numbers speak for themselves.  There are some contemporaries with more homers and RBIs than Bagwell, but it took most of them another five seasons of mediocrity to accumulate those totals.  It only takes ten seasons to be eligible for the Hall of Fame, so one could argue that a player’s ten best seasons are what should be considered.  I’m not going that far, but to me Jeff Bagwell was the best at his position and close to the top for long enough that he deserves enshrinement in baseball’s Hall of Fame.

Last year was Bagwell’s second on the ballot and he appeared on 56% of the ballots.  Only Jack Morris returns with more support next year.  Some of what may be hurting Bagwell is that  the era of performance-enhancing drugs has skewed the context of power numbers.  In seasons where he reached the mid-40’s in homers, guys like McGwire, Sosa and later Bonds were passing 60.  I won’t make the argument that Bagwell deserves to be in because he accomplished his feats without P.E.D.’s  There is really no way to know that.  I’ve arrived at a certain philosophy when considering players from the P.E.D. era for Cooperstown that I won’t go into here.  What I do know is that regardless of who was doing what, Bagwell was the best at his position for a long time and if you do that you’re a Hall of Famer.

The stats below are from www.baseball-reference.com, a great resource for researching baseball history through the numbers.  Baseball Reference gives four Hall of Fame metrics – at least a couple of which are derived from Bill James – on a player’s page.  Bagwell measures up as Hall of Fame worthy on three of them.  He falls just short on the metric that considers the number of times leading the league in certain stats.

CAREER

Year Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG Awards
1991 HOU NL 156 650 554 79 163 26 4 15 82 7 4 75 116 .294 .387 .437 RoY-1
1992 HOU NL 162 697 586 87 160 34 6 18 96 10 6 84 97 .273 .368 .444 MVP-19
1993 HOU NL 142 609 535 76 171 37 4 20 88 13 4 62 73 .320 .388 .516 MVP-20
1994 HOU NL 110 479 400 104 147 32 2 39 116 15 4 65 65 .368 .451 .750 AS,MVP-1,GG,SS
1995 HOU NL 114 539 448 88 130 29 0 21 87 12 5 79 102 .290 .399 .496 MVP-15
1996 HOU NL 162 719 568 111 179 48 2 31 120 21 7 135 114 .315 .451 .570 AS,MVP-9
1997 HOU NL 162 717 566 109 162 40 2 43 135 31 10 127 122 .286 .425 .592 AS,MVP-3,SS
1998 HOU NL 147 661 540 124 164 33 1 34 111 19 7 109 90 .304 .424 .557  
1999 HOU NL 162 729 562 143 171 35 0 42 126 30 11 149 127 .304 .454 .591 AS,MVP-2,SS
2000 HOU NL 159 719 590 152 183 37 1 47 132 9 6 107 116 .310 .424 .615 MVP-7
2001 HOU NL 161 717 600 126 173 43 4 39 130 11 3 106 135 .288 .397 .568 MVP-7
2002 HOU NL 158 691 571 94 166 33 2 31 98 7 3 101 130 .291 .401 .518  
2003 HOU NL 160 702 605 109 168 28 2 39 100 11 4 88 119 .278 .373 .524 MVP-14
2004 HOU NL 156 679 572 104 152 29 2 27 89 6 4 96 131 .266 .377 .465  
2005 HOU NL 39 123 100 11 25 4 0 3 19 0 0 18 21 .250 .358 .380  
15 Yrs 2150 9431 7797 1517 2314 488 32 449 1529 202 78 1401 1558 .297 .408 .540  
162 Game Avg. 162 711 587 114 174 37 2 34 115 15 6 106 117 .297 .408 .540  
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/20/2012.
 
POST SEASON:
Year Tm Lg Series Opp Rslt G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA
1997 HOU NL NLDS ATL L 3 13 12 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 .083
1998 HOU NL NLDS SDP L 4 16 14 0 2 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 6 .143
1999 HOU NL NLDS ATL L 4 19 13 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 4 .154
                                       
2001 HOU NL NLDS ATL L 3 12 7 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 .429
                                       
2004 HOU NL NLDS ATL W 5 25 22 5 7 2 0 2 5 0 0 3 3 .318
2004 HOU NL NLCS STL L 7 31 27 1 7 2 0 0 3 1 1 4 5 .259
2005 HOU NL NLDS ATL W 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 .500
2005 HOU NL NLCS STL W 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000
2005 HOU NL WS CHW L 4 10 8 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .125
6 Yrs (9 Series) 33 129 106 11 24 4 0 2 13 1 2 19 25 .226
6 NLDS 21 87 70 9 16 2 0 2 10 0 1 15 19 .229
2 NLCS 8 32 28 1 7 2 0 0 3 1 1 4 5 .250
1 WS 4 10 8 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .125
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/20/2012.